Sunday, March 3, 2013

Modi can change the equation

Once again Narender Modi is in the news. And this time it is for some very different reasons. And he is enjoying every bit of the media clamour for him! He is already strutting around as the next PM of India! Well, why not? After all, he is a citizen of India and has every reason to visualize his future. And also because there is acute shortage of leaders and issues in the BJP. They are bereft of genuine leadership and issues on which they can lay a claim to run the nation. Modi comes in handy. Being controversial helps at times. You may hate him, you may detest him but you cannot ignore him! And this is where Modi has emerged as the front runner for 2014 hustings. Honestly, I do not see a scenario where Modi becomes the PM. Probably even he knows it. But it is a good ploy from many aspects. Firstly, it sort of cuts down the light weight( but voluminous) leaders who pretend to be heavy weights! Then, it gives them a chance to polarize the nation. And this suits the BJP. They all know that the NDA allies will not accept Modi as a PM candidate. They may ultimately accept him if the numbers allow, is a different matter. But, none would like to begin the campaign with this perspective. Today BJP is celebrating Modi. They are smart. They have killed two birds with one stone. They have thrown the cat amidst the pigeons. Also they have thrown an issue to the general public at large and now they wait to see which result suits them…the pigeons being slaughtered or the public swallowing the pill! Nitesh Kumar is under pressure and test. BJP is assessing what they gain of Modi declared PM even if they loose Nitesh. Nitesh is in a quandary and Laloo has rubbed it in already by asking Nitesh to make his stand clear. Congress waits and watches. After repeated hara-kiri attempts, the UPA has still survived and may well survive if Modi is declared PM candidate and Nitesh walks away to the UPA camp.

10 comments:

ThinkTankOne said...

You are right about the value of Modi in polarising voters.This will mean different things to different parties.This will benefit BJP as well as SP and BSP in terms of votes. It may help Congress also in places yet harm it in others. It also has the potential of harming Nitish and other BJP allies.However,after the elections,one can expect BJP to push Modi off the national stage(unless it scores really big in the elections). Post poll scene will depend on the numbers thrown up. BJP will have to dump Modi to win allies. If the UPA goes down in numbers,different versions of the third front will start emerging, with Mulayam Singh, Mayawati, Mamta, Jayalalita, Naidu and the Left involved in the juggling of numbers. If UPA holds on to its strength you will see UPA III. UP and Bihar will decide, not Gujarat.None of the big players of UP and Bihar will accept Modi.As of now,it seems Mayawati and Lalu will be gainers in seats.

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